Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.384069 1.586958 1.809854 2.073004 2.375347 2.712042 3.115727
2025-07-06 1.034908 1.284332 1.580974 1.960181 2.432740 3.003154 3.745437
2025-07-13 0.874716 1.162348 1.528724 2.030569 2.701803 3.571100 4.786561
2025-07-20 0.761261 1.074656 1.498856 2.116689 2.996819 4.210575 6.020501
2025-07-27 0.667543 0.994740 1.462384 2.182098 3.267200 4.850903 7.354151
2025-08-03 0.583522 0.913032 1.407695 2.207966 3.478255 5.430290 8.684076
2025-08-10 0.496524 0.812003 1.307158 2.145387 3.539726 5.785444 9.715003
2025-08-17 0.417256 0.710454 1.189736 2.035495 3.504110 5.973774 10.492821
2025-08-24 0.367706 0.650224 1.130016 2.010398 3.602268 6.390458 11.712724
2025-08-31 0.324444 0.594337 1.069317 1.973309 3.671041 6.760468 12.896990
2025-09-07 0.305003 0.578035 1.075325 2.055757 3.965774 7.572444 15.018039
2025-09-14 0.280845 0.549492 1.054821 2.084706 4.161511 8.222275 16.916368
2025-09-21 0.251519 0.508314 1.007445 2.059657 4.257495 8.710702 18.607167
2025-09-28 0.218520 0.455446 0.930550 1.964913 4.199318 8.883398 19.671398
2025-10-05 0.207085 0.445202 0.937927 2.046081 4.522493 9.895659 22.726425
2025-10-12 0.197639 0.437830 0.950189 2.139384 4.885901 11.047848 26.289661
2025-10-19 0.186983 0.426311 0.951943 2.209454 5.207290 12.153394 29.928987
2025-10-26 0.174180 0.408172 0.936610 2.237996 5.436059 13.078672 33.285849
2025-11-02 0.156511 0.376354 0.886017 2.175881 5.437662 13.463238 35.348177
2025-11-09 0.137862 0.339700 0.819373 2.065136 5.302110 13.490361 36.484236
2025-11-16 0.126418 0.319169 0.788720 2.040094 5.381114 14.070087 39.198685
2025-11-23 0.115487 0.298497 0.755092 2.002693 5.422290 14.557627 41.742117
2025-11-30 0.111798 0.295967 0.766795 2.086546 5.802465 16.006265 47.272683